It's exceedingly rare to see a Kentucky Derby point race run on a Tuesday, but thanks to a week of catastrophic weather in the Commonwealth, that's what is happening at Keeneland as a field of seven line up to contest the last of the major Derby preps–the GI Toyota Blue Grass Stakes.
On the rail, and fortuitously drawn to the inside of a closer, is 'TDN Rising Star' River Thames (Maclean's Music). With the small field, the speedster will likely encounter considerably less traffic trouble than that post position would sign him up for in the GI Kentucky Derby, but stranger things have happened. With a strong debut victory Jan. 11 at Gulfstream to his credit and a 6 1/2-length masterclass follow-up Feb. 1 against optional claimers, he entered the Mar. 1 GII Fountain of Youth as one of the favorites. River Thames pressed the fractions from the jump, and looked home free in the lane, only to be run down in the final strides by MGSW & GISP Sovereignty (Into Mischief). That rival would run second at the end of March to GISW Tappan Street (Into Mischief) in the GI Florida Derby.
The 'Rising Star' brings the field's co-best Beyer of 95 into this race, and with sunshine forecasted on Tuesday, might have a somewhat dry track to traverse for this Grade I debut.
Drawn three to the outside of River Thames is Owen Almighty (Speightstown), the GIII Tampa Bay Derby winner who went to the front and never came back–defeating three 'TDN Rising Stars' in the process, namely MGISW Chancer McPatrick (McKinzie), GISP Hill Road (Quality Road), and Patch Adams (Into Mischief). Owen Almighty posted a bullet move at Palm Meadows Mar. 29, covering five furlongs in 1:00.75 (1/7), in preparation for this race. Crossing the line never worse than second in his career–he was disqualified to fifth in his 2025 seasonal bow in the Listed Pasco Stakes–the son of the late great Speightstown brings a 93 Beyer from that Tampa Bay Derby win and picks up Jose Ortiz as his brother opted to ride River Thames.
The aforementioned multiple Grade I-winner Chancer McPatrick draws the six hole, looking to improve here from that loss to Owen Almighty in his second start of 2025, and will be eyeballing fellow 'Rising Star' GISW East Avenue (Medaglia d'Oro). While the former has remained consistent, off the board only once when running sixth in the GI Breeders' Cup Juvenile, the latter has fared worse. East Avenue faded to ninth in their mutual championship race, and again faded from second to tenth Feb. 15 in his seasonal return in the GII Risen Star Stakes. He's posted two bullet works and a series of strong breezes since then, including one at Keeneland, so his return to a favored surface might prove to be the wake up call he needs. His victory in the 2024 GI Claiborne Breeders' Futurity at this venue garnered him the co-best Beyer of 95. Trainer Brendan Walsh adds blinkers for the first time.
Post time for the Derby qualifier is 5:52 p.m. eastern.
Scylla tops a very tough field in the GI Madison at Keeneland | Coady Media
Madison Looks to be a Test of the Travelers
The second of two Grade I races at Keeneland for the rescheduled Blue Grass card, the GI Madison Stakes will be a showdown of the frequent fliers as the entire field will have made starts in at least five different tracks and some enter this race with passport stamps from Canada. All things considered, Juddmonte's MGISP Scylla (Tapit) stands at the head of a salty crew and looks to finally break through for her first elite score. On the board seven times from eight jumps last year, her lone off the board effort came in the GI Breeders' Cup Filly & Mare Sprint, which was arguably her toughest ask to date. Gone since that Nov. 2 effort, but working steadily toward this 2025 debut, Scylla will be fresh and ready to fire with the flexibility to make her own trip.
To her outside is a fellow 'Rising Star' in MSW & MGSP Justique (Justify), who has recaptured her form on a return to dirt sprints after a long stint at turf mile contests. Since moving to the barn of Cherie DeVaux and coming east, she's strung together back-to-back victories against optional claimers at Fair Grounds Jan. 2 and Feb. 23 in the Listed Carousel Stakes at Oaklawn. She made her morning showing at Keeneland Mar. 28 a very strong one, producing a co-bullet four panel move in :46.20 (1/48) matched only by stablemate GISW & MGISP Vahva (Gun Runner).
Also in the field is the quickly improving GSW & GISP Emery (More Than Ready); MGSW & GISP My Mane Squeeze (Audible), who will be making her 2025 bow in the Madison; and MGSW Mystic Lake (Mo Town), who comes up from Florida after a neck victory over Emery in the GII Inside Information Stakes.
Turf Action at Keeneland with a Pair of Grade IIs
Graded turf action at Keeneland kicks off with a pair of races sporting a similar theme as the others in terms of quality, and the ladies will take to the lawn first for the GII Appalachian Stakes going a mile.
A 10-strong field of 3-year-olds are led by GSW & MGISP Nitrogen (Medaglia d'Oro) and European import Lush Lips (GB) (Ten Sovereigns {Ire}). The former debuted at Woodbine on the turf course in late August against the boys, and was beaten only a neck. From there, she skipped all of her conditions and jumped into elite company in the GI Natalma at that venue. She begrudgingly faded to third as her stablemates And One More Time (Omaha Beach) and GSW Vixen (Vekoma)–who returns here–overtook her for the top spots. The runners behind that trio included MGSP-Eng Mountain Breeze (Ire) (Lope de Vega {Ire}), GSP Italian Soiree (Uncle Mo), SP Annascaul (American Pharoah) and MSP Ready for Candy (Twirling Candy).
In her 2024 campaign cap, Nitrogen took an even larger step up into the World Championships to roar home from the back and claim third as unbeaten European titan, multiple Group 1 winner 'TDN Rising Star' Lake Victoria (Ire) (Frankel {GB}) led the procession home. The Mark Casse runner left the maiden ranks Jan. 4 when winning the Listed Ginger Brew Stakes at Gulfstream and picked up her first graded victory last out Mar. 8 in the GIII Florida Oaks at Tampa Bay Downs.
Nitrogen en route to winning the Florida Oaks | SV Photography
Two from the outside is Lush Lips (GB), who was beaten a half-length by the aforementioned Nitrogen in the Florida Oaks, and has consistently improved since joining the barn of Brendan Walsh after making the initial trip over for Donnacha O'Brien in an unsuccessful tilt at Kentucky Downs. She's got the foot to lead this field, and has the advantage on paper over the other speed horse Good Temper (Collected).
Looking to make a successful swap from synthetic to turf is LNJ Foxwoods's Foxtastic (Speightstown), who was last seen locking horns with SW Bourbon Memory (Bolt d'Oro) at Turfway Park and running off the screen to win in a deadheat. Fionn (Twirling Candy) enters this contest on a three-race win streak and will look to capitalize if there's a pace meltdown.
In the turf dash GII Shakertown Stakes, a salty group of older horses convene to fight it out and several are well within their rights to claim this race. On the back of an already fruitful weekend, Wathnan Racing sends out Rogue Lightning (Ire) (Kodiac {GB}), the last out winner of the G3 Dukhan Sprint at Doha. He's faced some of the best in Europe and will make his States debut with Flavien Prat in the irons for trainer Tom Clover.
To his outside is MSW & GSP Valentine Candy (Justify), who will curiously be making a turf debut after earning well over $1-million on the main track. This will also function as his 2025 bow as he's been off since winning the Steel Valley Sprint Stakes in late November. Veteran MGSW & GISP Arzak (Not This Time) holds the co-highest Beyer of the race with a 102 and looks to add yet another graded tally to his evergreen career.
To cap an already packed day, the GIII Commonwealth Stakes will go between the Appalachian and the Madison, and like many races on this card, it is not light on heavy hitters. Established class like MGSW & MGISP Hoist the Gold (Mineshaft), GISW Nutella Fella (Runhappy), and GSW & GISP Here Mi Song (Cross Traffic) will take on new faces like Whatchatalkinabout (Dialed In), who comes into the race sporting a monster 106 Beyer after annexing his last race by eight lengths. SW & GISP Epic Ride (Blame) has found his winning form again and enters this turf debut with a 5 3/4-length win at Turfway last out. Montalcino (Take Charge Indy) will eyeball that one in the gate as he makes his graded debut after stringing together back-to-back triple digit Beyer figures.
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